Problem → Hypothesis → Measurement Template

An interactive one-page template that links problem statements to a clear hypothesis, leading and lagging signals, success criteria, required data, and a recommended method. Saveable responses let teams capture, iterate, and re-use experiment-ready plans.

Interactive Tool

Problem → Hypothesis → Measurement Template

This interactive template helps teams move from a loosely stated problem to a testable hypothesis and a measurable plan. Use it to clarify who will act on the result, what success looks like, what data you need, and the method you'll use. Save responses so plans can be revisited, copied, and connected to experiment tracking.

Filled example (Customer churn)

Problem: Monthly active users who contact support are churning at a higher rate than average.
Decision owner: Head of Customer Success
Desired outcome: Reduce 90-day churn for contacted users from 12% to 8% within 3 months.
Candidate hypothesis: If we proactively offer a dedicated onboarding session to contacted users, then their 90-day churn rate will decrease.
Leading signals: Signup for onboarding session, reduction in support repeat contacts within 30 days.
Lagging signals: 90-day churn rate, net revenue retention.
Success criteria: 90-day churn drops to <= 8% and effect is statistically significant (p < 0.05) with minimum detectable effect of 3 percentage points.
Required datasets: user_id, contact_date, support_contact_reason, onboarding_session_attendance, churn_flag (90-day), revenue; daily export, owned by CS analytics.
Suggested method: Randomized experiment (A/B test).
Estimated effort: ~120 person-hours.
Risks: Selection bias if attendance is voluntary; mitigate with incentivized attendance and intention-to-treat analysis.

Describe the operational or business problem you're trying to address. One concise sentence is ideal.
Who will use this result to make a decision? Provide a role or person.
What measurable change will indicate the decision owner achieved their goal? Include time bounds where appropriate.
State the hypothesis clearly in an if/then format so it maps directly to an intervention and an expected outcome.
Early indicators that the intervention is moving in the desired direction. Useful for quick checks and iteration.
Outcome measures that confirm success but may take longer to observe.
Pre-specified numeric and/or statistical criteria for declaring success. Be concrete (metrics, thresholds, significance where appropriate).
List datasets, specific fields, refresh cadence, owners, and any access notes or limitations.
Choose the primary method you plan to use. This guides analysis approach and pre-analysis planning.
Approximate person-hours to design, run, analyze, and operationalize.
Known risks, biases, ethical or safety concerns, and planned mitigations.
Any additional context, stakeholders to notify, or immediate next actions.
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